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Race Preview from Oddschecker

Sun, Apr 9, 2017

Race Preview - 10.4.17

Windsor 2:00 The Hannon team are well forward at present and normally have one ready for this contest. This time they rely on LETHAL LUNCH who has a speedy pedigree and is out of a dam who has produced two juvenile winners. The jockey booking looks significant and he has most to fear from Give Em A Clump who represents a trainer/jockey combination who landed this last year and were just touched off in 2015. Rock Of Estonia and Controversial Lady are two expensive buys from yards who do not usually have early types and the market may indicate otherwise.

Windsor 2:30 There are some well-bred newcomers in this from yards that do well here. However, it should pay to concentrate on the experienced pair of Radjash and MISTRESS QUICKLY. The former is now fitted with cheekpieces having failed to sustain a challenge in his two races last season. As a result, Ralph Beckett's filly looks a more attractive option. This is a good time to follow the yard's three-year-olds and that includes success at this fixture in the last few years. She was well supported for her debut and, as the yard's only runner here today, she is a worthy pick.

Windsor 3:00 Gary Moore sets punters a problem with son Ryan booked for the enigmatic Light The Air and the stable claimer booked for the in-form Etaad. Both can have strong cases made for them. Spinart and Capton are handicap debutantes who could do better in their second season but it is ZORBA THE GREEK that makes most appeal. His Irish form shows a preference for patient tactics, good ground and today's trip of 1m2f. The jockey booking is a signal of intent and, off an attractive mark, he can open his account for his new yard.


Windsor 3:30 Ryan Moore has a good book of rides and CAPTAIN PEACOCK must rate highly amongst them. The four-year-old hails from a yard in form and having won first time out last season he ought to be straight enough. He has proven form in better company than this and is versatile in term of trip, tactics and going. Richard Hughes now tries Bluff Crag over a longer trip in a bid to find the key to him. He looks a difficult ride and has not had much luck in running recently. Safira Menina has had a successful winter on the All-Weather and has gone well here previously. She has solid each-way claims having found a well-handicapped horse too good last time.

Windsor 4:00 A few of these such as Every Nice Girl, Know Your Limit and Fields Of Fortune are the types to do better now handicapping in their second season. All are worth noting in the market as is Justice Frederick. The topweight beat Leo Minor last season and with that horse going on to earn a rating of 95 there is room for improvement on recent displays. DELFIE LANE arrives boasting recent winning form and that is a huge advantage at this point of the season. It would be fair to say he can look a tricky ride but that tendency to hang may have been exaggerated on the Lingfield slopes last time.



Windsor 4:30 Paul Henderson is better known for his chasers but he did land a gamble in a division of this last year. Today the yard relies on Mr Scaff who arrives with an identical profile and even the same jockey booked to ride. He is worth a check in the market particularly as his best run last year was on softer ground. Golden Guest can win from this mark but the stable's form is a concern. Jonathan Portman is known for being patient with his horses so it came as something of a surprise when BROAD APPEAL made a winning debut. The third went on to score next time and, with the handicapper using the runner-up as a yardstick, he could prove to have been let in lightly.

Windsor 5:00 Pam Sly does well on her infrequent forays here and GHINIA is a C&D winner. The mare came to hand early last season and had little respite from the handicapper. She faces an easier task here and can land her fourth career victory. Commodity is another possible winner for Ryan Moore. His trainer has kept faith with this well-bred gelding who needs to prove a tame effort last time was not his true running.


Windsor 5:30 Most have these have unremarkable histories so it may pay to focus on the two expensive purchases ZAVIKON and Beach Dancer. Both are potentially a lot better than we have seen so far as they make their handicap debuts. The market will tell us more, but Zavikon looks the one most ready to win from this mark. Dashing Poet has just a 4lb rise for her latest success and will go close if reproducing her recent form back on turf.

Summary

In recent seasons, it has become clear that certain trainers have their eye on this opening fixture at Windsor and, being creatures of habit, those trends are worth noting in predicting the outcomes of some difficult races. The Hannon team are notable amongst them and saddle LETHAL LUNCH in the opener. Having won this in the past and saddled the fourth last year, who later turned out to be above average, then it would surprise few if he proved forward enough to land this. Give Em A Clump represents the trainer/jockey combination who took this last year and had the runner-up two years ago. He makes less appeal on pedigree but he is an obvious danger.

There are some interesting three-year-olds making their handicap debuts this afternoon. None more so than Mr Scaff in the 4:30. His trainer is better known for his National Hunt exploits and has been in good form lately. The yard landed a touch in this race last year and Mr Scaff has a similar record and the same rider booked. It will be interesting to see if there is any interest in him beforehand but the form book suggests the handicapper has not overdone it with BROAD APPEAL.

Rod Millman has done well at this meeting recently but is harder to make a case for his runners this time. Ralph Beckett is another handler with a significant record here, notably with his three-year-olds. This time he solely relies on MISTRESS QUICKLY (NAP) in the 2:30 who was significantly backed before her juvenile debut. The hint is worth taking and the yard have been amongst the winners recently. The form of her debut run has had a few knocks but she is from a good family and is sure to prove better than that run indicates.

Richard Hughes sends a strong team with Bluff Crag (3:30), Delfie Lane (4:00) and Zavikon (5:30). The latter cost £75,000 and has already shown enough to suggest that he is better than assessed by the handicapper. He will get few easier opportunities than this to repay the first instalment on that purchase price.

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